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Economy: Nigeria’s future bleak, IMF boss says

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The Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Ms. Christine Lagarde, has, contrary to widespread reports, painted a grim picture of the Nigerian economy, stating that the country is faced with hard choices, which it must tackle, if it must emerge from its present precarious economic circumstances.

The IMF boss stated this when she led a team of the International finance body on a courtesy visit to the Senate President, Bukola Saraki, on Wednesday.

According to her, the implication of the hard choices for the country means that hard decisions must be taken on revenue, expenditure, debt, and investment for Nigeria to emerge from the impending economic doldrums.

Lagarde also disclosed that the prices of oil, Nigeria’s main economy stay, will likely remain low for quite a long time, advocating the need to remove oil subsidy, which she said is hard to defend and the imperative for the country to increase the rate of Value Added Tax (VAT).

She said: “My first visit to Africa as IMF Managing Director was in late 2011, and the first country on my itinerary was Nigeria. At that time, Nigeria was emerging from the 2008-09 commodity price collapse and the banking crisis that followed.

“Since that visit, Nigeria has been acknowledged as the largest economy in Africa—with a maturing political system.

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“We saw a peaceful general election last year in which, for the first time in Nigeria’s history, there was a democratic transition between two civilian governments. It was a strong sign of Nigeria’s commitment to democracy, to a new Nigeria.

“At the same time, the external environment has changed. Oil prices have fallen sharply, global financial conditions have tightened, growth in emerging and developing economies has slowed and geopolitical tensions have increased.

“All this has come at a time when Nigeria is facing an urgent need to address a massive infrastructure deficit and high levels of poverty and inequality.

“So, Nigeria faces some tough choices going forward. Nigerians, however, are well known for their resilience and strong belief in their ability to improve their nation and lead others by example.

“I firmly believe that Nigeria will rise to the challenge and make the decisions that will propel the country to greater prosperity.”

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